Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.672229 49.170799 57.390100 67.036131 78.012802 90.080733 104.316839
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.067679 38.615837 50.115897 64.849426 83.073183 104.715245 132.185314
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.707807 33.114628 46.595064 65.040339 89.285454 119.700467 160.319222
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.719344 29.563023 44.497162 66.068611 95.846040 134.853762 189.045103
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.159326 24.244670 39.012610 61.506315 94.053426 138.469776 202.485616
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.295192 22.506835 38.226038 63.207018 100.716933 153.555625 231.884510
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.289371 20.153402 36.116270 62.567094 103.736786 163.519786 254.539147
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.594670 19.847324 37.114848 66.683589 114.007899 184.350190 293.642453
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.659730 16.999605 33.550401 63.085575 112.018740 186.863229 306.056077
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.966295 16.326668 33.572457 65.321409 119.295626 203.612072 340.336726
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.678165 16.392861 34.887545 69.829196 130.505759 226.942134 385.630638
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.085405 15.729838 34.768192 71.770908 137.522584 243.983626 421.938245
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.228162 14.456097 33.543732 72.005276 142.359539 258.944915 457.651856
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.247190 12.702160 31.154888 69.885154 143.060945 267.468663 484.078763
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.637370 11.676445 30.079097 70.109167 147.887389 283.052976 522.697882
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.187801 10.941011 29.496518 71.206570 154.337107 301.688530 567.210541
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.425681 9.138787 26.216350 66.345758 149.087474 299.631887 576.741248
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.174979 8.731768 26.109093 68.158249 156.802296 320.836833 626.936395
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.833520 7.942145 24.933241 67.476330 159.483976 333.069547 662.071522
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.763688 8.020597 25.964150 71.861799 172.709622 365.253919 733.684328
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.373756 6.865626 23.562666 68.028844 168.669071 365.114058 747.682555
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.261319 6.684884 23.775025 70.410919 177.849930 390.339273 808.478174
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.234190 6.830786 24.933229 75.211126 192.527602 426.745474 891.073854